I really don’t think Zoe will win the Oscar

She was my prediction since the absolute beginning, but I’ve been feeling more and more that her steam is running out and she’s going to miss on Oscar night.

I really did think she was great in EP (the best part of the whole movie I should add) but if giving speeches is one of the most important parts of running a campaign, I think she’s doing pretty poorly. She was a sobbing mess at the globes and tonight she was super flat and her speech was honestly kind of off putting.

I’m like 80% sure she still wins BAFTA (unless Ariana or Isabella Rossellini upsets) but there’s a good chance Ariana wins SAG. So until SAG, I’m changing my prediction to Ariana.

I’m one of the few who actually liked Emilia Pérez but after the Karla atrocity and what I mentioned with Zoe’s speeches, it might be over for her.